Saturday, 04 September, 2010

Stock and Commodity Quote Ticker

Constructing a Put Option Ratio Spread E-mail
User Rating: / 4
PoorBest 
Written by Carley Garner   

How to Construct a Put Option Ratio Spread

Options are eroding assets; therefore it isn't always wise to spend a lot of money to purchase an option that will face depreciation as well as dismal odds of success.  Instead, it is often a better idea to sell options of different types or strike prices in order to pay for those that you would like to purchase.  A put ratio spread does just that.  A trader that is interested in buying a put option in hopes of a market decline or to simply protect other positions in their trading portfolio may finance their purchase through the sale of two distant strike priced puts.  Here are the details of a put option ratio spread. 

 

 

 

Put Ratio Spread

 

Buy 1 at-the-money Put

Sell 2 or more out-of-the-money Puts

 

When to Use

 
  • When you expect the market to market to move lower, but believe that the downside is limited
  • The objective is to put this trade on as a credit, a free trade or very cheap. This occurs when a trader collects more premium for the short options that is put forth for the long options.  Free does not entail a lack of transaction costs, margin or risk.
 

Ratio Put Spread Profit Profile

 
  • If executed at a credit the profit is limited to the premium collected if the market is above the long put at expiration
  • Profit on the down side is limited to the difference between the long and short puts plus the net credit or minus the net debit.
 

What is at Stake

 
  • If the market expires above the long put your risk is limited to any premium paid for the spread if executed as a debit
  • Because this trade involves more short puts than long the down side risk is unlimited below the short puts
  • Having unlimited risk this trade needs to be watched closely
Example: 

In my opinion, one of the most opportune markets to employ a put ratio spread strategy in is the stock indices.  During times of excessive volatility, it is possible to construct a very large spread which translates into a large profit zone, at very little cost or possibly even a net credit. 

On September 18, 2008 the equity markets were extremely volatile.  Accordingly, we recommended the following trading in our free daily newsletter, The Stock Index Report:

 If you prefer the big board (S&P 500), based on today's settlements it may be possible to buy the November 1160 put and sell 2 of the 1080's for near even money. Assuming an even money fill, this trade makes something from 1160 to 1000.  The maximum profit of $20,000 occurs if the market is at 1080 at expiration, the risk is unlimited (equivalent to being long a futures) below 1000. 

A put ratio spread such as the one noted below can be used by the bears as a way to enter the market without the immediate risk of a futures contract.  The bulls may look to use such a put ratio spread as a means of hedging against bullish strategies, in this case it can often be looked at as cheap insurance.  However, this insurance policy has a deductible in the form of downside price risk should the market drop extremely sharply.  Let us explain the mechanics by looking at the recommended trade in detail.

 

Planning and Implementing a Ratio Put Spread

 

We will assume that the trade above could have been executed at even money, however, in all actuality it may have been a credit.  Even money simply means that the trader is collecting the same amount of premium for the short options as is being paid out for the long option.  In other words, from a cash outlay standpoint the trade is free.  Keep in mind that free doesn't imply without risk of loss or margin. 

 

This trade involves a long put and two short puts; thus, it faces theoretically unlimited risk beyond the reverse breakeven point.  Likewise, the exposure of the short puts creates limited profit potential in that gains on the long put will eventually be offset by losses in the two short puts should the market decline below 1080.  In this instance, the profit is limited to a handsome sum of $20,000; calculated by multiplying the distance between the long put and the short put by the multiplier for the contract ($250).  If you are trading mini's, the point value is one fifth the size of the full sized contract making the maximum profit potential $4,000.  While the risk will be unlimited whether you are trading the mini or the "big board", the mini contract will lose at a pace of one fifth the full sized version. 

 

Put Ratio Spread Diagram

  

The simplest way to explain the payout diagram of this trade is based on the potential payout at expiration (see Figure 1).  Upon expiration of this spread and assuming an even money fill, it will be profitable with the futures price trading anywhere from 1160 to 1000 without regard to transaction costs.  In essence, the spread makes money as from 1160 down to 1080, below 1080 the trade is giving back profits until it runs out of money near 1000.  As the futures price drops below 1000, the trader faces theoretically unlimited risk.  Such a scenario is similar to being long a futures contract from 1000.  For every point that the futures price moves below the reverse breakeven point, the trader loses $250 on a full sized contract ($50 if you are trading mini's).  I would like to point out that there is only one way for this trade to be a loser at expiration and that is if the futures market is trading beneath 1000.  Ignoring transaction costs, at any point above 1000, the trade is either breaking even or profitable. 

 

Unlimited risk? Yes. But is it likely?

Keep in mind that while this trade does face unlimited risk, the risk is distant from the market price at the time of entry.  This is in stark contrast to the risk faced by a futures trader.  I have learned that you can never underestimate the markets, but the odds of a 160 point plunge in the S&P after the market had already suffered a nearly 200 point drop previous to this recommendation, seemed highly unlikely. 

 

Put Ratios for Risk Management

 

As mentioned above, this trade can be used as an insurance policy.  I have been known to point clients toward a trade similar to this one as a means of providing a quasi hedge against short put positions that are under pressure.  At expiration, this spread insures a move below 1160 to 1080 tick for tick.  As explained, below 1080 the trade gives back profits...thus the insurance policy begins to become less valuable.  Below1000, the trade that was meant to be a hedge now becomes a burden.  Therefore, when using ratio spread as a means of risk management you should be aware of major support and resistance levels and place the strike prices of the spread accordingly. 

 

Disadvantage of Ratio Put Spreads

 

It is important to note that a ratio spread can sometimes involve unintended consequences at any point prior to expiration.  At expiration, there is no time value in the options and the profit and loss will be strictly dependent on the diagram pointed out in Figure 1.  However, due to the time value still present in the options, it is possible for a spike in volatility to create a scenario in which the combined value of the short puts gain in value faster than that of the long put.  In other words, it is possible for the market to move in the anticipated direction and create a loss to the trader.  Assuming that the futures contract is trading above the reverse break even at expiration the losses will be only temporary; however it is never fun to be a part of. 

 

Conclusion

Ratio spreads can be a powerful trading tool but proper construction and execution are key in producing favorable results.  Poor timing in terms of volatility and price along with incorrect strike price placement may result in a very unpleasant trading experience. 

 

*There is substantial risk of loss in trading options and futures.

 

Carley Garner

1-866-790-TRADE

cgarner@decarleytrading.com

  

Carley Garner is Senior Analyst for DeCarley Trading LLC where she also works a broker. Her book, "Commodity Options" is now available through all major book outlets.  She authors free e-newsletters, The Stock Index Report and The Bond Bulletin, visit www.DeCarleyTrading.com for a subscription

 

Adjusing Margin and Risk E-Book

A Traders First Book on Commodities by Carley Garner
 

Risk in Futures Trading

 
Banner

Free Offer

Complimentary Subscription to the Bond Bulletin e-Blast 
Email:
First Name:
Last Name:
Phone Number:
Country:

Let us Help You!

LiveZilla Live Help

Contact Carley Garner

Follow Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading on TwitterWant to know the latest happenings at DeCarley Trading?  Follow Carley on Twitter for news on upcoming webinars, books, specials and DeCarley Trading newsletter samples!

Contact Carley Garner

Contact Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading

The DeCarley Perspective

The DeCarley Perspective, Free Commodity Trading Newsletter

A Trader's First Book on Commodities

www.ATradersFirstBookonCommodities.com 

A Trader's First Book on Commodities

Click Here to Order "A Trader's First Book on Commmodities" through Barnes & Noble

Click Here to Order "A Trader's First Book on Commodities" through Amazon

Before you trade commodities, you'll need significant practical knowledge of the associated risks and market characteristics. That's where this book comes in. You won't find boring theory or bewilderingly complex trading strategies here. Instead, you will find specific guidance on accessing commodity markets cost-effectively, avoiding common beginners' mistakes, and improving the odds of successful trades.

Read more...

Trade Futures and Options with DeCarley

DeCarley Trading Futures and Options Broker
  

DeCarley Trading was created with customer service in mind. We understand that there are hundreds of futures and options trading brokerage firms and there are an unlimited number of choices in terms of commission, service and execution.  DeCarley doesn’t expect your business but we would love the opportunity to earn it.  Whether you prefer to work with Carley Garner directly, or choose to trade a self-directed account online, we are confident that you will agree that DeCarley provides exceptional service at competitve commission rates!

 

Visit www.DeCarleyTrading.com for details.  We look forward to hearing from you!

Order Commodity Options the Book

  It isn't free, but it's close...If having this book saves you 1 tick, you have almost recouped your investment.

Order Commodity Options the Book by Carley Garner

www.CommodityOptionstheBook.com

Click Here to Order Commodity Options through Barnes & Noble

Click Here to Order Commodity Options through Amazon   

 

Commodities are hot, as Jim Rogers would say.  Stagnant stocks and the massive bull rally in raw commodities have lured much of the attention away from Wall Street and toward down-town Chicago.  It is difficult to turn on the television or open the newspaper without being reminded of the impact that commodity prices have on our daily lives.  

Read more...

Free Futures Magazine Subscription

Free Futures Magazine Subscription

Rely on Futures magazine to help you make smart trading decisions – compliments of DeCarley Trading.  Sign up for your FREE subscription today!   

DeCarley Trading recognizes how much your success depends on staying ahead of the market when planning your long-term and short-term trading goals.  To enhance your trading experience and further your education of the market, we have teamed up with Futures magazine to offer you a FREE 1-year subscription.     

Futures magazine is the oldest publication in circulation today serving futures, options, stock, and forex traders.  You’ll increase your understanding of the markets, and hopefully your profit potential, compliments of timely market insight that only Futures provides.  Each issue is full of indispensable information including trading strategies and tactics, market news, successful trader profiles, and money management best practices - sign up for your FREE subscription today!   

 

 

Free Stocks & Commodities Magazine Trial

Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities The Traders' Magazine

  

See Carley's monthly column, Futures for You, in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities Magazine!! Click here for a free trial.

 

Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES, The Traders’ Magazine, has been the premier magazine in the field for many years. It’s a how-to guide for traders -- and traders-to-be -- who want to play the markets with a concrete game plan. Every issue of STOCKS & COMMODITIES provides the latest, most detailed information on technical trading strategies, charting patterns, indicators, and computerized trading methods.  

Every month, Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities provide serious traders with information on how to apply charting, numerical, and computer trading methods to trade stocks, bonds, mutual funds, options, Forex and futures. This magazine examines and explains both old and new trading methods, techniques and products, and brings the best to you every month. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned veteran, you'll always find the information you need to become a better trained trader.

Click here for a free trial to Stocks & Commodities Magazine

Open an Account Online

Open a Futures Trading  Account Online

Open a Trading Account with DeCarley Trading Today!

Whether you are looking to trade with an experienced and well connected broker, or prefer a self directed online account, DeCarley Trading is well rounded and capable of beating your expectations of a brokerage firm. 

Opening an account is easy with our electronic account application. Click here to open a futures and options trading account with DeCarley in minutes.

Please note that if you wish to open a trading account in the name of a business, you will need to complete a paper application.  If this is the case, please contact us at info@decarleytrading.com to request that a PDF of the forms be emailed to you, or the application mailed. 

For additional information on available service types visit www.DeCarleyTrading.com.

Banner
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information and data contained on DeCarleyTrading.com was obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. Information provided on this website is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed on DeCarleyTrading.com will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.